Utah State Aggies | Mountain West (Mountain)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+690), Win Conference (+1375)
SSA Model Pick: Division (Low Confidence)
Boise State should win the mountain division, but if they don’t it will be Utah State. The Aggies return 18 starers this season from a team that was 4-4 in conference last year. The Aggies will be about 2 TD dogs at Boise State to end the regular season, but will be in a position to take the division if they can pull off the upset. We have them at a 21% chance of winning that game.

Win Total Analysis
7.5 wins (-105/-115)
SSA Model Pick: None
This is a 7 or 8 win team, so Southpoint nailed this number setting it at 7.5 The value in this team is to take the divison, not to play their win total.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 73.7
Coach: Matt Wells
Returning Starters: 18
National Ranking: 72
Coach Ranking: 59
Talent Ranking: 115

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 10%
Div Win Prob: 21%
Projected Record: 7.5 – 4.5
Conference Record: 5.2 – 2.8

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Fri, Aug 31@ Mich St10%
Sat, Sep 8N Mex St79%
Thu, Sep 13Tenn Tech98%
Sat, Sep 22Air Force69%
Fri, Oct 5@ BYU44%
Sat, Oct 13UNLV73%
Sat, Oct 20@ Wyoming52%
Sat, Oct 27New Mex80%
Sat, Nov 3@ Hawaii80%
Sat, Nov 10SJSU87%
Sat, Nov 17@ CSU60%
Sat, Nov 24@ Boise St21%