USC Trojans | Pac-12 (South)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+153), Win Conference (+485)
SSA Model Pick: Division (Medium Confidence)
Darnold has departed, but that’s not a good reason to think this team will regress. USC recruits near the top of the nation and talent is something they don’t lack. Coming off of a Pac-12 title last season, the Trojans should contend for the title once again this year.

Win Total Analysis
8.5 wins (-115/-105)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
Non-conference games against Texas and Notre Dame mean that the Trojans can go 8-4 and win the Pac-12 South. While this team is clearly the best team in the South, they are beatable and it will be difficult for Helton to get to another 10 win season.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 88.3
Coach: Clay Helton
Returning Starters: 13
National Ranking: 15
Coach Ranking: 62
Talent Ranking: 3

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 21%
Div Win Prob: 47%
Projected Record: 8.1 – 3.9
Conference Record: 6.2 – 2.8

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1UNLV94%
Sat, Sep 8@ Stanford41%
Sat, Sep 15@ Texas44%
Fri, Sep 21WSU81%
Sat, Sep 29@ AZ61%
Sat, Oct 13CU80%
Sat, Oct 20@ Utah53%
Sat, Oct 27ASU78%
Sat, Nov 3@ Oregon St89%
Sat, Nov 10Cal73%
Sat, Nov 17@ UCLA67%
Sat, Nov 24ND47%