UCF Knights | AAC (East)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (-158), Win Conference (+135)
SSA Model Pick: None
The Knights had an amazing season last year going 13-0 including a win over Auburn in the Peach Bowl. They enter this season as the favorite to take the AAC and with good reason. However, they only bring back 12 starters and will be under the direction of a new head coach. 5dimes knows they’ll get a ton of action on UCF regardless of the odds, so stay away from these futures plays.

Win Total Analysis
9 wins (-135/+115)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
What goes up must come down. That statement isn’t always true, but it’s definitely true here. UCF was a great story last year but looking at the fundamentals, this is not a perennial powerhouse program. Games at North Carolina and at Memphis will be difficult. Home games against Florida Atlantic and Pittsburgh will also be challenging. It’s hard to think this team will win 10+ regular season games.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 80.8
Coach: Josh Heupel
Returning Starters: 12
National Ranking: 41
Coach Ranking: 65
Talent Ranking: 70

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 31%
Div Win Prob: 51%
Projected Record: 8.4 – 3.6
Conference Record: 5.9 – 2.1

Win Total Scenarios


Thu, Aug 30@ UCONN88%
Sat, Sep 8SC St100%
Sat, Sep 15@ UNC44%
Fri, Sep 21FAU58%
Sat, Sep 29Pitt55%
Sat, Oct 6SMU82%
Sat, Oct 13@ Memphis46%
Sat, Oct 20@ ECU86%
Thu, Nov 1Temple71%
Sat, Nov 10Navy69%
Sat, Nov 17Cinci85%
Fri, Nov 23@ USF60%