Troy Trojans | Sun Belt (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+142), Win Conference (+290)
SSA Model Pick: None
Troy is good and people know it. Back-to-back 10+ win seasons caught everyone’s attention, including the odds makers. The Trojans should take the East if they can take down App St in the final week of the regular season. But the recent success of the Trojans means there isn’t any value in taking them to win the conference or division.

Win Total Analysis
8 wins (+115/-135)
SSA Model Pick: None
The win total line of 8 feels a bit like a trap. Troy has a solid team and has won over 8 regular season games the past two years. However, Troy has to play Boise State and Nebraska out of conference and then has to play at App St to end the season. We actually have the Trojans at 7.8 wins and don’t see any value in taking a side on this total number.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 70.2
Coach: Neal Brown
Returning Starters: 12
National Ranking: 85
Coach Ranking: 70
Talent Ranking: 89

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 22%
Div Win Prob: 40%
Projected Record: 7.8 – 4.2
Conference Record: 5.5 – 2.5

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1Boise St24%
Sat, Sep 8FL A&M98%
Sat, Sep 15@ Nebraska22%
Sat, Sep 22@ ULM57%
Sat, Sep 29Coastal86%
Thu, Oct 4GA St78%
Sat, Oct 13@ Liberty80%
Tue, Oct 23@ S Alabama70%
Sat, Nov 3ULL80%
Sat, Nov 10@ GA So55%
Sat, Nov 17Tx St86%
Sat, Nov 24@ App St42%