Toledo Rockets | MAC (West)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+198), Win Conference (+380)
SSA Model Pick: Division (Low Confidence)
Jason Candle has been getting it done at Toledo, going 14-3 in MAC play in his first two seasons. This year the Rockets only return 12 starters, but are our pick to win the West. The Rockets rank three spots behind Northern Illionis in our power numbers, but the schedule is favorable for Toledo.

Win Total Analysis
8.5 wins (+125/-145)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
Toledo is catching a lot of love because of their win count over the past two seasons. However, this roster lacks experience and the departure of Logan Woodside at the QB position means we should see some regression from the Rockets.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 72.6
Coach: Jason Candle
Returning Starters: 12
National Ranking: 76
Coach Ranking: 84
Talent Ranking: 78

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 19%
Div Win Prob: 36%
Projected Record: 7.6 – 4.4
Conference Record: 5.4 – 2.6

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1VMI100%
Sat, Sep 15Miami16%
Sat, Sep 22Nevada67%
Sat, Sep 29@ Fresno St33%
Sat, Oct 6BG78%
Sat, Oct 13@ E Mich61%
Sat, Oct 20Buffalo68%
Thu, Oct 25@ W Mich51%
Wed, Oct 31Ball St82%
Wed, Nov 7@ NIU42%
Thu, Nov 15@ Kent St84%
Fri, Nov 23C Mich77%