Texas State Bobcats | Sun Belt (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+2150), Win Conference (+11000)
SSA Model Pick: None
Any time a team is at over 100:1 you know their outlook isn’t good. Ricky Bobby said that if your not first, well, you’re Texas State. This team is a combine 4 and 20 under Withers and if he doesn’t get things figured out early the Bobcat boosters might start calling for the eject button to be pressed.

Win Total Analysis
3.5 wins (+105/-125)
SSA Model Pick: Over (Medium Confidence)
For as much as we bashed Texas State in the section above, things aren’t looking so bad in terms of wins. 14 returning starters in an established system means consistency that wasn’t present last year. A home win against Lousiana on October 6th could mean a 4 win season for the Bobcats, enough to go over the win total number.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 54.5
Coach: Everett Withers
Returning Starters: 14
National Ranking: 128
Coach Ranking: 127
Talent Ranking: 103

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 1%
Div Win Prob: 3%
Projected Record: 3.8 – 8.2
Conference Record: 2.1 – 5.9

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1@ Rutgers11%
Sat, Sep 8Tx So.96%
Sat, Sep 15@ S Alabama32%
Sat, Sep 22@ UTSA26%
Sat, Oct 6ULL46%
Thu, Oct 11GA So30%
Sat, Oct 20@ ULM21%
Sat, Oct 27N Mex St36%
Sat, Nov 3@ GA St31%
Sat, Nov 10App St19%
Sat, Nov 17@ Troy14%
Sat, Nov 24Ark St17%