South Florida Bulls | AAC (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+400), Win Conference (+1100)
SSA Model Pick: Division & Conference (Low Confidence)
Charlie Strong inherited a great roster last season as the Bulls went 10-2 with a bowl win. But Quinton Flowers is now gone and the Bulls only bring back 11 starters. While this USF team won’t be as good as last year’s, UCF won’t be as strong either. That means the Bulls could take the East and the AAC. This is more of a pick against UCF than it is for USF

Win Total Analysis
8.5 wins (-105/-115)
SSA Model Pick: Under (High Confidence)
When you have the best player in the conference on your team it’s easy to win. This year USF won’t have the best player and Charlie Strong will need to find other ways to win. This team outclassed the competition last year but that’s not the case this year and getting to 9 wins will be difficult for the Bulls.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 73.8
Coach: Charlie Strong
Returning Starters: 11
National Ranking: 70
Coach Ranking: 74
Talent Ranking: 73

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 12%
Div Win Prob: 24%
Projected Record: 7.3 – 4.7
Conference Record: 4.9 – 3.1

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1Elon95%
Sat, Sep 8GA Tech32%
Sat, Sep 15vs. Illinois55%
Sat, Sep 22ECU83%
Sat, Oct 6@ UMASS64%
Fri, Oct 12@ Tulsa62%
Sat, Oct 20UCONN85%
Sat, Oct 27@ Houston38%
Sat, Nov 3Tulane69%
Sat, Nov 10@ Cinci63%
Sat, Nov 17@ Temple45%
Fri, Nov 23UCF40%