SMU Mustangs | AAC (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+1000), Win Conference (+5000)
SSA Model Pick: None
Chad Morris took this team to a bowl game last year and then took the Arkansas job. Sonny Dykes is the new HC and his style of offense should put up some big numbers. But new schemes take time to implement and this will be a transition year for the Mustangs.

Win Total Analysis
5.5 wins (-120/+100)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
While the Mustangs enjoyed some success last season, they weren’t as strong as their record looked. Combine that with a new coaching staff this season and we should see some regression from the Mustangs. 5-7 is most likely and that will put the Mustangs under the number.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 68.2
Coach: Sony Dykes
Returning Starters: 14
National Ranking: 92
Coach Ranking: 93
Talent Ranking: 76

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 2%
Div Win Prob: 6%
Projected Record: 5 – 7
Conference Record: 3.4 – 4.6

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1@ N Texas40%
Fri, Sep 7TCU15%
Sat, Sep 15@ Michigan5%
Sat, Sep 22Navy40%
Sat, Sep 29Hou Bap99%
Sat, Oct 6@ UCF18%
Sat, Oct 20@ Tulane43%
Sat, Oct 27Cinci60%
Sat, Nov 3Houston36%
Sat, Nov 10@ UCONN66%
Fri, Nov 16Memphis28%
Sat, Nov 24@ Tulsa48%