Oregon Ducks | Pac-12 North


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+515), Win Conference (+800)
SSA Model Pick: None
Meet the trendy pick in the Pac-12 North. Oregon QB Justin Herbert has gotten a lot of love this off-season so expectations are set high for first year head coach Mario Cristobal. While Cristobal has brought in a solid recruiting class, this roster still isn’t where it needs to be and Oregon is outclassed by Washington and Stanford.

Win Total Analysis
8.5 wins (-120/+100)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
This team has won 7 and 4 games respectively over the past two seasons, yet this total is set at 8.5. While Cristobal was on staff last year (OC), this is still a transition year for the Ducks and it’s difficult seeing them win 9+ games.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 85
Coach: Mario Cristobal
Returning Starters: 14
National Ranking: 24
Coach Ranking: 66
Talent Ranking: 21

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 6%
Div Win Prob: 13%
Projected Record: 8.1 – 3.9
Conference Record: 5.2 – 3.8

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1BG94%
Sat, Sep 8Port St100%
Sat, Sep 15SJSU97%
Sat, Sep 22Stanford44%
Sat, Sep 29@ Cal54%
Sat, Oct 13UW35%
Sat, Oct 20@ WSU64%
Sat, Oct 27@ AZ52%
Sat, Nov 3UCLA70%
Sat, Nov 10@ Utah44%
Sat, Nov 17ASU71%
Fri, Nov 23@ Oregon St86%