North Texas Mean Green | CUSA (West)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+225), Win Conference (+1050)
SSA Model Pick: None
After a few difficult seasons, including a 1-11 campaign in ’15, North Texas was the surprise team in the West last year. With 17 starers back it makes sense why they are the Vegas favorite to take the West for the second straight year. But last year was a bit of an anomaly and the Mean Green lost the conference championship game and their bowl game by a combine score of 47-91 which is much more reflective of this team’s ability. While they could win the West again, don’t expect it.

Win Total Analysis
8 wins (-110/-110)
SSA Model Pick: Under (High Confidence)
This is the ideal situation for a prop player. North Texas had a break out season last year and everyone focuses on their record of 9-5. But this team scored 497 points last season and allowed 490, which is much more indicative of a .500 team. Expect the Mean Green to regress and while they might not go under the number they certainly won’t go over it.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 69.7
Coach: Seth Littrell
Returning Starters: 17
National Ranking: 88
Coach Ranking: 72
Talent Ranking: 100

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 8%
Div Win Prob: 20%
Projected Record: 7.4 – 4.6
Conference Record: 4.8 – 3.2

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1SMU60%
Sat, Sep 8Incarnate98%
Sat, Sep 15@ Ark23%
Sat, Sep 22@ Liberty79%
Sat, Sep 29La Tech49%
Sat, Oct 6@ UTEP81%
Sat, Oct 13S Miss65%
Sat, Oct 20@ UAB48%
Sat, Oct 27Rice84%
Sat, Nov 10@ ODU56%
Thu, Nov 15FAU32%
Sat, Nov 24@ UTSA62%