North Carolina Tar Heels | ACC (Coastal)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+2250), Win Conference (+15000)
SSA Model Pick: Division (Low Confidence)
The Tar Heels won the Coastal in 2015 and things have been downhill ever since. Last year was a rough one as Fedora posted his worst record at UNC going 3-9. But this year will be different as UNC has some athletes and should avoid a second straight losing season. Outside of Miami, there is no team that sticks out in the Coastal so at 22.5:1 North Carolina is an attractive pick to win the division.

Win Total Analysis
5.5 wins (+100/-120)
SSA Model Pick: Over (High Confidence)
In his first five seasons at UNC Fedora won 6+ regular season games each season. Last year was an anomaly and the Tar Heels will once again win 6+ regular season games this year. The logic is simple and it makes sense, take the over.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 78.4
Coach: Larry Fedora
Returning Starters: 13
National Ranking: 54
Coach Ranking: 64
Talent Ranking: 30

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 2%
Div Win Prob: 8%
Projected Record: 6.4 – 5.6
Conference Record: 3.6 – 4.4

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1@ Cal39%
Sat, Sep 8@ ECU85%
Sat, Sep 15UCF56%
Sat, Sep 22Pitt55%
Thu, Sep 27@ Miami20%
Sat, Oct 13Va Tech40%
Sat, Oct 20@ Syracuse53%
Sat, Oct 27@ UVA61%
Sat, Nov 3GA Tech47%
Sat, Nov 10@ Duke36%
Sat, Nov 17W Car96%
Sat, Nov 24NC State48%