New Mexico Lobos | Mountain West (Mountain)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+5500), Win Conference (+20000)
SSA Model Pick: None
Last year was a rough one for New Mexico as they found themselves using their 3rd string QB for much of the season. Davie’s style of option has been successful here, but without a QB to run his offense the Lobos scored 21 points per game last year. Unfortunately, this season won’t be much better.

Win Total Analysis
4 wins (-105/-115)
SSA Model Pick: Over (Medium Confidence)
While we have the Lobos picked last in the Mountain division, they can still win some games. Out of conference games scheduled against Incarnate Word and first year FBS Liberty mean you only need to find two more wins to push. Four wins is most likely, but it’s unlikely they’ll win fewer than four.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 62.1
Coach: Bob Davie
Returning Starters: 13
National Ranking: 114
Coach Ranking: 102
Talent Ranking: 116

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 0%
Div Win Prob: 1%
Projected Record: 4.2 – 7.8
Conference Record: 2.1 – 5.9

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1Incarnate97%
Sat, Sep 8@ Wisconsin2%
Sat, Sep 15@ N Mex St42%
Sat, Sep 29Liberty73%
Sat, Oct 6@ UNLV35%
Sat, Oct 13@ CSU32%
Sat, Oct 20Fresno St22%
Sat, Oct 27@ Utah St20%
Sat, Nov 3SDSU21%
Sat, Nov 10@ Air Force31%
Fri, Nov 16Boise St12%
Sat, Nov 24Wyoming36%