Win Division (+700), Win Conference (+1050)
SSA Model Pick: Division (Low Confidence)
An experienced head coach, a senior quarterback, and 17 starters back. Sounds like a formula for success for a team coming off of a winning season. While they aren’t the favorite in the East, the Blue Raiders are legit contenders.
Win Total Analysis
7 wins (+105/-125)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Low Confidence)
Understanding volatility is critical for understanding the resaoning behind these picks. If the Blue Raiders take down FAU they will go over their win total number and should take the East. While unlikely, at +700 it makes sense to take them to win the division. But if the Blue Raiders fail to win against FAU, which is much more likely, there is a good shot they go under their win total. Pair these plays and there are a lot of scenarios where you end up ahead.
Win Total Scenarios