Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | Sun Belt (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+335), Win Conference (+1475)
SSA Model Pick: Conference (Low Confidence)
The Warhawks have 17 returning starters and Matt Viator is entering his third season as head coach. Both of these facts point to some upward mobility for ULM, a team that went 4-8 last season. While we only have them at a 9 percent probability of winning the conference, 5dimes is offering them at basically 15 to 1. If you’re looking for a team with an outside shot to take the Sun Belt, the Warhawks are it.

Win Total Analysis
5.5 wins (-125/+105)
SSA Model Pick: Over (Low Confidence)
ULM has posted back-to-back 4 win seasons under Matt Viator but year three should be different. They return the vast majority of their offesnive and defensive producition and year three is generally a breakout season for head coaches. It’s most likely that the Warhawks go 6-6, which is good enough for the over to hit.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 65.1
Coach: Matt Viator
Returning Starters: 17
National Ranking: 106
Coach Ranking: 103
Talent Ranking: 109

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 9%
Div Win Prob: 20%
Projected Record: 5.9 – 6.1
Conference Record: 4.5 – 3.5

Win Total Scenarios


Thu, Aug 30SE LA74%
Sat, Sep 8@ S Miss42%
Sat, Sep 15@ Tx A&M7%
Sat, Sep 22Troy43%
Sat, Sep 29@ GA St56%
Sat, Oct 6@ Ole Miss14%
Sat, Oct 13@ Coastal68%
Sat, Oct 20Tx St79%
Sat, Nov 3GA So54%
Sat, Nov 10@ S Alabama58%
Sat, Nov 17@ Ark St26%
Sat, Nov 24ULL69%