Illinois Fighting Illini | Big 10 (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (+13500), Win Conference (+80000)
SSA Model Pick: None
When Illinois hired Lovie Smith they were hoping he could replicate the success he had with the Chicago Bears in the NFL. That hasn’t been the case. While 5-19 in his first two seasons, pointing upwards are 16 returning starters and new OC Rod Smith, who was co-OC under Rich Rod at Arizona.

Win Total Analysis
3.5 wins (-130/+110)
SSA Model Pick: Over (High Confidence)
Non-conference games against Kent State and Western Illinois should have the Illini off to a 2-0 start. Then comes the challenge, beating USF or finding two conference wins. Winnable games include: USF, at Rutgers, Purdue, at Maryland, and Minnesota. Don’t expect Illinois to have a winning record, but do expect them to go over the number.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 70.1
Coach: Lovie Smith
Returning Starters: 16
National Ranking: 86
Coach Ranking: 92
Talent Ranking: 58

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 0%
Div Win Prob: 1%
Projected Record: 4.4 – 7.6
Conference Record: 2.4 – 6.6

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1Kent St89%
Sat, Sep 8W Ill72%
Sat, Sep 15vs. USF45%
Fri, Sep 21Penn St13%
Sat, Oct 6@ Rutgers43%
Sat, Oct 13Purdue34%
Sat, Oct 20@ Wisconsin6%
Sat, Oct 27@ MD28%
Sat, Nov 3Minnesota41%
Sat, Nov 10@ Nebraska25%
Sat, Nov 17Iowa25%
Sat, Nov 24@ NW18%