Win Division (+13500), Win Conference (+80000)
SSA Model Pick: None
When Illinois hired Lovie Smith they were hoping he could replicate the success he had with the Chicago Bears in the NFL. That hasn’t been the case. While 5-19 in his first two seasons, pointing upwards are 16 returning starters and new OC Rod Smith, who was co-OC under Rich Rod at Arizona.
Win Total Analysis
3.5 wins (-130/+110)
SSA Model Pick: Over (High Confidence)
Non-conference games against Kent State and Western Illinois should have the Illini off to a 2-0 start. Then comes the challenge, beating USF or finding two conference wins. Winnable games include: USF, at Rutgers, Purdue, at Maryland, and Minnesota. Don’t expect Illinois to have a winning record, but do expect them to go over the number.
Win Total Scenarios