Fresno State Bulldogs | Mountain West (West)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+148), Win Conference (+750)
SSA Model Pick: Conference (Low Confidence)
The Bulldogs went 1-11 in ’16 and in reponse to a down season they brought in former Cal head coach Jeff Tedford. Tedford dazzeled in year one as the Bulldogs emerged as a power in the West. They should compete with San Diego State for the West division and could take down Boise State in the title game this year.

Win Total Analysis
8 wins (-110/-110)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Low Confidence)
While the Bulldogs can win the conference, they also can win fewer than 8 games. The key with this pick is that Fresno State needs to win 9+ for the over to hit and they play at Minnesota, at UCLA and at Boise State. The push probability on this play is quite high.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 77
Coach: Jeff Tedford
Returning Starters: 15
National Ranking: 58
Coach Ranking: 37
Talent Ranking: 97

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 17%
Div Win Prob: 40%
Projected Record: 7.9 – 4.1
Conference Record: 5.5 – 2.5

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1Idaho90%
Sat, Sep 8@ Minnesota42%
Sat, Sep 15@ UCLA36%
Sat, Sep 29Toledo67%
Sat, Oct 6@ Nevada66%
Sat, Oct 13Wyoming71%
Sat, Oct 20@ New Mex78%
Sat, Oct 27Hawaii92%
Sat, Nov 3@ UNLV71%
Fri, Nov 9@ Boise St28%
Sat, Nov 17SDSU54%
Sat, Nov 24SJSU91%