Florida Atlantic Owls | CUSA (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (-158), Win Conference (-103)
SSA Model Pick: None
Apparently now everyone loves Lane. That wasn’t the case at Alabama, USC, Tennessee… Last season Lane redefined the Kiffin effect to have it be something positive. While we like the Owls to take the conference they are getting way too much love and their is no value in their futures lines.

Win Total Analysis
8.5 wins (-120/+100)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Low Confidence)
In his first season Kiffin posted 9 regular season wins which matched the number of wins the Owls had in the previous three seasons. But every year is different in college football and Kiffin’s offense only returns 5 starters this season. They open the season at Oklahoma and also have a non-conference game scheduled at UCF. 8 wins is slightly more likely than 9 and at +100 on the under our models sees a bit of value.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 79.4
Coach: Lane Kiffin
Returning Starters: 15
National Ranking: 47
Coach Ranking: 38
Talent Ranking: 77

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 29%
Div Win Prob: 40%
Projected Record: 8.4 – 3.6
Conference Record: 6.0 – 2.0

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1@ OU16%
Sat, Sep 8Air Force81%
Sat, Sep 15Beth Cook97%
Fri, Sep 21@ UCF42%
Sat, Sep 29@ Mid Tenn62%
Sat, Oct 6ODU85%
Sat, Oct 20@ Marshall54%
Fri, Oct 26La Tech72%
Sat, Nov 3@ FIU79%
Sat, Nov 10WKU89%
Thu, Nov 15@ N Texas68%
Sat, Nov 24UNCC93%