East Carolina Pirates | AAC (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+4400), Win Conference (+45000)
SSA Model Pick: None
That seat is getting hot for Scottie Montgomery. The Pirates have not looked good in Montgomery’s first two seasons and unfortunately for the ECU alumni they likely won’t look good this year either. This team was outscored by an average of 20 points last season and should battle UConn for the bottom spot in the East.

Win Total Analysis
3.5 wins (+105/-125)
SSA Model Pick: Over (Low Confidence)
A theme with win total lines is that the public assumes the better team always wins when they tally up win totals. This is not how college football works. The Pirates will be favored in only two games this year, but have just enough talent to pull off a couple of upsets.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 60.5
Coach: Scottie Montgomery
Returning Starters: 12
National Ranking: 116
Coach Ranking: 117
Talent Ranking: 90

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 0%
Div Win Prob: 1%
Projected Record: 3.5 – 8.5
Conference Record: 2 – 6

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1NC A&T79%
Sat, Sep 8UNC15%
Sat, Sep 15@ Va Tech5%
Sat, Sep 22@ USF17%
Sat, Sep 29ODU46%
Sat, Oct 6@ Temple17%
Sat, Oct 13Houston21%
Sat, Oct 20UCF14%
Sat, Nov 3Memphis16%
Sat, Nov 10@ Tulane26%
Sat, Nov 17UCONN60%
Fri, Nov 23@ Cinci31%