Bowling Green Falcons | MAC (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+1250), Win Conference (+4400)
SSA Model Pick: None
Bowling Green has been hurting since Dino Babers departed for Syracuse. Jinks has gone 6-18 since taking over and this could be another tough season for the Falcons. If things go right they could make it to the MAC title game, but that would involve a lot of things going right combine with some luck.

Win Total Analysis
5 wins (+110/-130)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Low Confidence)
It’s believed around college football that coaches in year three tend to make a leap. That’s what the Falcon’s win total line of 5 reflects. But Jinks has failed to win 5 games in each of his first two seasons so it’s hard for us to see the Falcons going over 5 wins. Laying -130 zaps some of the value in this pick.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 62.3
Coach: Mike Jinks
Returning Starters: 13
National Ranking: 112
Coach Ranking: 124
Talent Ranking: 94

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 2%
Div Win Prob: 7%
Projected Record: 4.4 – 7.6
Conference Record: 3.2 – 4.8

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1@ Oregon6%
Sat, Sep 8MD21%
Sat, Sep 15E Ken86%
Sat, Sep 22MIA OH41%
Sat, Sep 29@ GA Tech7%
Sat, Oct 6@ Toledo22%
Sat, Oct 13W Mich37%
Sat, Oct 20@ Ohio19%
Tue, Oct 30Kent St74%
Sat, Nov 10@ C Mich44%
Sat, Nov 17@ Akron39%
Fri, Nov 23Buffalo44%