Boise State Broncos | Mountain West (Mountain)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (-305), Win Conference (-168)
SSA Model Pick: None
Boise State is the class of the Mountain West. They recruit at the top of the conference and won the confernce last season. However, the entire world is enamored with Boise State this year with Rypien back at QB and 10 starters returning on the defensive side of the ball. That means there is no value on Boise State in the futures market.

Win Total Analysis
10 wins (+105/-125)
SSA Model Pick: Under (High Confidence)
The numbers just don’t add up here. We have the Broncos rated 6 points better than the second best team in the Mountain West and we have them at 9.2 wins. It’s hard to see this team going over 10 wins even though they’ll be favored in 11 games. The favorite doesn’t always win. Like last season, we expect them to win 9 regular season games.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 84
Coach: Bryan Harsin
Returning Starters: 16
National Ranking: 28
Coach Ranking: 31
Talent Ranking: 62

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 38%
Div Win Prob: 56%
Projected Record: 9.2 – 2.8
Conference Record: 6.3 – 1.7

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1@ Troy76%
Sat, Sep 8UCONN95%
Sat, Sep 15@ OK St41%
Sat, Sep 29@ Wyoming75%
Sat, Oct 6SDSU71%
Sat, Oct 13@ Nevada80%
Fri, Oct 19CSU88%
Sat, Oct 27@ Air Force80%
Sat, Nov 3BYU79%
Fri, Nov 9Fresno St72%
Fri, Nov 16@ New Mex88%
Sat, Nov 24Utah St79%