Arkansas State Red Wolves | Sun Belt (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (-183), Win Conference (+153)
SSA Model Pick: None
The Red Wolves are the clear favorite to win the West as both App St. and Troy are in the East and they don’t even have to play Troy this season. Anderson enters his 5th season as Head Coach and should find himself in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, but at -183 to win the division and +153 to win the conference there is no value in taking the Red Wolves.

Win Total Analysis
9 wins (+110/-130)
SSA Model Pick: Under (High Confidence)
If the favorite won ever game this year, Arkansas State would go 11-1. But every week is different in college football and while our model picks the Red Wolves to win the conference, they will sustain some battle scars along the way. Going over 9 wins will be tough for this team, going under 9 is much more likely.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 72.7
Coach: Blake Anderson
Returning Starters: 12
National Ranking: 75
Coach Ranking: 73
Talent Ranking: 87

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 34%
Div Win Prob: 65%
Projected Record: 8.3 – 3.7
Conference Record: 6.0 – 2.0

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1SEMS93%
Sat, Sep 8@ Alabama4%
Sat, Sep 15@ Tulsa59%
Sat, Sep 22UNLV72%
Sat, Sep 29@ GA So62%
Tue, Oct 9App St59%
Thu, Oct 18GA St82%
Sat, Oct 27@ ULL76%
Sat, Nov 3S Alabama83%
Sat, Nov 10@ Coastal83%
Sat, Nov 17ULM74%
Sat, Nov 24@ Tx St83%