Appalachian State Mountaineers | Sun Belt (East)

Overview

Conference Analysis
Win Division (+137), Win Conference (+280)
SSA Model Pick: None
Satterfield is 27-5 in Sun Belt play since the Mountaineers joined the conference in 2014, but all four of those seasons were with Taylor Lamb at QB. A new quarterback and having to compete against Troy means the Mountaineers aren’t a lock to win the East and make it to the first ever Sun Belt Conference Championship Game.

Win Total Analysis
Win Total Line: 8.5 (+110/-130)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
The Mountaineers won 8 regular season games last year and our model is calling for yet another 8 win season. Having to play Penn State week 1 means you need to find 3 losses in App St’s final 11 games. While they will likely be favored in 10 of those games, the better team doesn’t always win, which is why we have them projected at 8 wins.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 71.1
Coach: Scott Satterfield
Returning Starters: 11
National Ranking: 82
Coach Ranking: 54
Talent Ranking: 114

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 22%
Div Win Prob: 40%
Projected Record: 8.1 – 3.9
Conference Record: 5.6 – 2.4

Win Total Scenarios

Schedule

Sat, Sep 1@ Penn St8%
Sat, Sep 8@ UNCC76%
Sat, Sep 15S Miss69%
Sat, Sep 22G Webb98%
Sat, Sep 29S Alabama81%
Tue, Oct 9@ Ark St41%
Sat, Oct 20ULL82%
Thu, Oct 25@ GA So58%
Sat, Nov 3@ Coastal80%
Sat, Nov 10@ Tx St81%
Sat, Nov 17GA St80%
Sat, Nov 24Troy58%