Win Division (+137), Win Conference (+280)
SSA Model Pick: None
Satterfield is 27-5 in Sun Belt play since the Mountaineers joined the conference in 2014, but all four of those seasons were with Taylor Lamb at QB. A new quarterback and having to compete against Troy means the Mountaineers aren’t a lock to win the East and make it to the first ever Sun Belt Conference Championship Game.
Win Total Line: 8.5 (+110/-130)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
The Mountaineers won 8 regular season games last year and our model is calling for yet another 8 win season. Having to play Penn State week 1 means you need to find 3 losses in App St’s final 11 games. While they will likely be favored in 10 of those games, the better team doesn’t always win, which is why we have them projected at 8 wins.
Win Total Scenarios