Alabama Crimson Tide | SEC (West)


Conference Analysis
Win Division (-182), Win Conference (+108)
SSA Model Pick: None
Alabama is the clear favorite to win the SEC West and is poised for a re-match with Georgia. While Alabama won the national title last season they didn’t win the SEC title. The Crimson Tide should roll into the conference title game but Auburn could get in their way again this year.

Win Total Analysis
10.5 wins (-130/+110)
SSA Model Pick: Under (Medium Confidence)
Nick Saban has won 11+ regular season games 9 times in the last 10 seasons. Is this the year Alabama drops two regular season games? It’s hard to see this happening, but it’s what our model is calling for. 10-2 never looked so bad.

Team Summary

Power Rating: 98.5
Coach: Nick Saban
Returning Starters: 10
National Ranking: 1
Coach Ranking: 2
Talent Ranking: 4

Projections Summary

Conf Win Prob: 36%
Div Win Prob: 59%
Projected Record: 10.3 – 1.7
Conference Record: 6.6 – 1.4

Win Total Scenarios


Sat, Sep 1vs. L'ville83%
Sat, Sep 8Ark St96%
Sat, Sep 15@ Ole Miss85%
Sat, Sep 22Tx A&M83%
Sat, Sep 29ULL99%
Sat, Oct 6@ Ark87%
Sat, Oct 13Missouri86%
Sat, Oct 20@ Tenn89%
Sat, Nov 3@ LSU76%
Sat, Nov 10Miss St79%
Sat, Nov 17Citadel100%
Sat, Nov 24Auburn71%