One thing is for sure, college football top 25 rankings are consistently inconsistent. Teams seem to get rewarded for weak schedules. In the end, if you schedule weak out of conference opponents, you can sleepwalk to a seven win season. It has become more apparent that scheduling weaker opponents has a positive effect for teams. In fact, there seems to be some rewards for it. SMU is off to a 9-1 season and ranked 25th in the country and barely slipped by lowly East Carolina last week, 59-51. Okie State is 7-3 and ranked 21st and they lost to Texas Tech. Boise State is 9-1 and ranked 20th and they lost to their toughest opponent, BYU. You know who isn’t ranked? Texas A&M. They are 7-3. Their three losses this year were to Clemson, Auburn, and Alabama. They have UGA and LSU left. They will most likely finish 7-5 and finish in a low-tier bowl. Largely, they cannot avoid a in-conference schedule that is brutal. Let’s give them credit for putting Clemson on their schedule instead of Prairie View A&M. Teams like Memphis, Cincinnati, App State and SMU will all be ranked above them at the end of the year and they will all make a bigger bowl, translating into more dollars. We should have a system in place that weighs strength of schedule even more and aligns it to the tiers of bowl games rather than the current system. Play two tough teams and lose those games and nine cupcakes and go 9-2 and play on New Years Eve. Doesn’t seem fair….
One of these weeks I am going to crush it. I feel it coming soon. This year hasn’t been kind. Hoping for a late turnaround. Vegas is good…..
Stanford -1.5 vs. Cal – Both teams are on reserve QB’s. I like David Mills of Stanford.
Stanford 23 Cal 17
Penn State +18.5 at Ohio State – This line is dead on. I think it will be a dominant performance by OSU. I still think PSU can sneak in a cover
Ohio State 38 Penn State 20
SMU +3.5 at Navy – I don’t love this game as much as I like the Over in the total. I think SMU has a dual threat of a good QB and RB. I will side with the Mustangs.
SMU 42 Navy 41
Texas A&M +13.5 at Georgia – I like UGA to have a dominant game of ball control. I think A&M can hang with them for most of the game to get the cover.
Georgia 30 Texas A&M 17
Connecticut +14.5 vs. East Carolina – ECU is definitely getting better. I just find it hard to believe they will win by more than two TD’s against anyone on the road.
East Carolina 38 Connecticut 27
Kansas +24.5 at Iowa State – The Cyclones are a much better team. I just don’t see this as a game they get up for. They can get a solid 20 point win without covering.
Iowa State 38 Kansas 18
Indiana +9.5 vs. Michigan – Michigan is looking ahead to OSU. IU catches them sleeping.
Michigan 31 Indiana 24
UCLA +14 at USC – Another bad year for Chip Kelly. Both coaches need to show something here. I think it will be closer than people think.
USC 38 UCLA 28
Texas +6.5 at Baylor – Baylor’s run to an undefeated season is over. I think that takes some wind out of their sails.
Texas 30 Baylor 27
Wisconsin -24.5 vs. Purdue – Jonathan Taylor won’t win the Heisman because he didn’t show out against OSU. He will run angry. 200+ yards, again.
Wisconsin 38 Purdue 10
Tennessee +4 at Missouri – UT is trying to make a bowl. I haven’t been impressed with Mizzou lately.
Tennessee 24 Missouri 23
Season ATS record: 50-64