Fraud Alert?

As we come upon the home stretch of the football season and start thinking about the potential of teams to make the final four of the College Football Playoff, we typically look to the remaining undefeated teams first. Typically, if you are from a Power Five conference and are undefeated, you get into the playoff. Sure, there are teams outside of these conferences like UCF who might end up on the outside looking in; but for the most part, if you go undefeated, you will make it into the final four. The one good thing the conference championship games do is that they ultimately will eliminate any remaining undefeated teams prior to playoff selection. However, prior to that happening, we love to make projections of who will end up undefeated. That said, which one of the remaining teams are the annual fraud? You know, the team that starts 8-0 and then reality hits and they get beat by 20 points and fade away. Typically, that is one of the non-usual suspects. The top three unbeaten teams seem to be absolutely legitimate. LSU, Clemson, and Ohio State look like veritable locks for the playoff. The remaining two undefeated teams have not overly impressed the committee or the general public. Minnesota sits at #8 and Baylor is not even in the Top 10, as they currently are sitting at #13. This leaves us with the question, are either of these teams legit? We are about to find out! Minnesota travels to Iowa and finishes the season against Wisconsin. If they are remotely legitimate, they will end up in the Big Ten title game (where they will ultimately get pummeled by OSU). Baylor has Oklahoma and Texas back-to-back. If they split those two, it is a fantastic season. I just don’t see either Baylor or Minnesota running the board. They made it this far without a loss, but I think reality is ready to hit.

Brutal week last week. A good week HAS to come soon! Trying to turn this sinking ship around. I feel it is going to be a great week. Here we go…..

Iowa -2.5 vs. Minnesota – The Gophers come into this one undefeated looking to bust up the playoff picture. Iowa has three losses but all were tight games. Kinnick Stadium will be the difference. Minny’s run is over.

Iowa 24 Minnesota 20

Oklahoma -9.5 vs. Baylor – Another undefeated team, another loss. The Sooners are too tough and already took their loss. 

Oklahoma 41 Baylor 27

Navy +10 vs. Notre Dame – The Irish are playing well as of late, but the Midshipman are having a great year and I expect them to move the ball against Notre Dame.

Notre Dame 30 Navy 24

Michigan -13.5 vs. Michigan State – MSU has been horrific this year and UM is on a solid rebound. Harbaugh wants and needs a good flow going into OSU.

Michigan 27 Michigan State 13

Missouri +7 vs. Florida – This line seems a bit off. I think the public will be all over the Gators. Not me.

Florida 27 Missouri 23

Auburn +2.5 vs. Georgia – This is against everything I believe in. UGA is my pick to make it to the playoff and I am deviating from that due to the vegas line. Play the number, not the team.

Georgia 21 Auburn 20

Iowa State -7 vs. Texas – Texas is great one week and suspect the next. Iowa State might be 5-4 but probably the best 5-4 team in the country. High scoring game.

Iowa State 38 Texas 28

Louisville -3.5 at NC State – The Wolfpack’s team is depleted from injury and the defense can’t stop anyone. Quarterback struggles continue due to shaky offensive line play. 

Louisville 31 NC State 24

California +6 vs. USC – Cal is a Jekyll & Hyde type team. USC is courting Urban. Writing on the wall.

Cal 24 USC 23

Oregon State +2.5 vs. Arizona State – Two teams headed in different directions. Sun Devils pull one out but Beavers cover.

Arizona State 28 Oregon State 27

Ohio State -52  at Rutgers – FIFTY TWO point line?! Not enough for Rutgers…..Buckeyes steamroll, reverse the truck and steamroll again.

Ohio State 56 Rutgers 3

Season ATS record: 46-57