Down and Out Already?

Have no fear. There are 130 D-1 football schools in the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS). Odds are, your team is 1 of roughly 128 that will not go without a loss in the regular season. The problem is, sometimes taking that L early in the year can set a horrible tempo for the rest of the season. Same thing goes for sports betting. If you start the first few weeks with a losing record, one can feel like they are digging themselves out of a massive hole for the rest of the year. Looking at Week 1, there were definitely a host of disappointing performances by teams that were hoping to start the year out much better. Tennessee turned in a pathetic performance in a bad loss to Georgia State. South Carolina lost their QB in a really tough loss to an upstart UNC. A solid Missouri team had a confusing loss to Wyoming. Ole Miss lost to Memphis in a low-scoring snooze fest. I feel all of their pain. I went 2-6 ATS in my first full week. I picked Memphis to cover 5.5 points. They won by 5. By game time, the line was 3.5, but I picked them when it was at 5.5. I had Oregon with the points and they lost in the last minute to Auburn. The final minute was the only minute of the game where they were not in the lead. These opening week losses can be tough for both teams and handicappers. One thing you can do is pick up the pieces and learn from your mistakes. Many of the teams I mentioned above will do this. They have 11 games to turn the corner. One week does not make a season. The year goes by quick, so while it isn’t a marathon, it certainly isn’t a sprint. So let’s gather up the pieces and improve each week. Positive thoughts! Here is my first chance at redemption. I am promising a better week for all of us!

Missouri -13.5 vs. West Virginia – The Tigers had a bad loss last week to Wyoming. Why on Earth are they a two touchdown favorite over a 1-0 WVU team? This is the biggest Vegas trap of the week. WVU is a 5 win team this year.
Missouri 38 West Virginia 23

Nebraska -4 at Colorado – The Huskers did not look sharp last week. Their offense sputtered throughout the game. It is my belief they held back a bit for this week. I expect a much more focused team. Quite frankly, they are better than Colorado.
Nebraska 37 Colorado 31

SMU -3 vs. North Texas – The Mustangs are a favorite of mine this year due to Texas transfer Shane Buechele. I think he has a great year for SMU at the QB position. Vegas has yet to adjust to his arrival.
SMU 41 North Texas 35

Florida Atlantic +11 vs. Central Florida – FAU gave up 28 points in the first quarter to OSU. Then, they regrouped and outscored them 21-17 the rest of the way. I think they give Central Florida troubles and win this game outright.
Florida Atlantic 38 Central Florida 35

Texas A&M +17.5 vs. Clemson – Sure, Clemson will win by double digits. I just feel like there are some growing pains coming for parts of the Clemson defense. The Aggies will put some points on the board. They are an up-and-coming team that will regularly be in the Top 10.
Clemson 34 Texas A&M 20

Texas +6.5 vs. LSU – Look, LSU is the better team. I think there is something to be said for home field in a game of this magnitude. Things just don’t come super easy for Ed Orgeron. I don’t expect a losing Gatorade bath, but I think this will be closer than expected.
LSU 27 Texas 24

Auburn -17.5 vs. Tulane – Bo Nix got his feet wet last week in a come from behind win against Oregon. I do not expect this to be a letdown game. Auburn will continue to get better each week.
Auburn 30 Tulane 10

Season ATS record: 4-6

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