SEC Preview and Futures

Click on a team for their full betting preview and suggested picks

East
1. Georgia (59% Div WP, 31% Conf WP)
Win Division (-173), Win Conference (+305)
Georgia emerged as an SEC power last year as they won the conference and made a national championship game appearance. In his third season as head coach Kirby Smart is poised to make his second consecutive conference title game appearance. This team can beat Alabama and at +305 to win the conference it’s worth investing in the Bulldogs.

2. Florida (12% Div WP, 4% Conf WP)
Win Division (+550), Win Conference (+2200)
It was supposed to be a battle between Georgia and Florida for the East last year but some off-season suspensions meant Florida’s season was over before it began. This year they are the clear #2 in the East but are clearly behind Georgia. If the Gators can win the world’s largest outdoor cocktail party then they could represent the East in the title game.

3. South Carolina (15% Div WP, 5% Conf WP)
Win Division (+1000), Win Conference (+4250)
Will Muschamp has a good team here at South Carolina and at the end of this season people will recognize this. In year three here the Gamecocks should make some noise in the SEC East. At 10:1 they’re a good pick to take the East.

4. Missouri (9% Div WP, 3% Conf WP)
Win Division (+775), Win Conference (+3750)
Over the ’13 and ’14 seasons Missouri posted a 14-4 record in SEC play. Third year head coach Barry Odom will probably be happy with a winning conference record, something he hasn’t had in his first two seasons. Missouri will win some games but lacks the talent to be a serious contender in the SEC.

5. Kentucky (1% Div WP, <1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+6000), Win Conference (+30000)
Stoops enters his 6th season here and his best in conference mark is 4-4. Kentucky does have some athletes, but playing in the talent rich SEC means they are physically outmatched in many of their games. It will be difficult for this team to compete for the top spot in the East.

6. Vanderbilt (2% Div WP, <1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+8500), Win Conference (+50000)
Mason enters this season on the hot-seat and unfortunately for Vanderbilt, they have the worst athletes in the SEC. Academic standards at Vandy are exponentially higher compared to anywhere else in the SEC, thus the Commodores can’t compete with the big boys in the SEC.

7. Tennessee (<1% Div WP, <1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2350), Win Conference (+10000)
The Volunteers failed to win a single conference game in what was one of their worst seasons in a long time in 2017. Add to it the hiring debacle this off-season and expectations should be set low for a program with a rich history.

West
1. Alabama (59% Div WP, 36% Conf WP)
Win Division (-182), Win Conference (+108)
Alabama is the clear favorite to win the SEC West and is poised for a re-match with Georgia. While Alabama won the national title last season they didn’t win the SEC title. The Crimson Tide should roll into the conference title game but Auburn could get in their way again this year.

2. Auburn (15% Div WP, 8% Conf WP)
Win Division (+515), Win Conference (+725)
Auburn is a top 10 team and is one of the elite teams in the SEC. The problem for the Tigers is that they are in the same division as Alabama. Malzahn will try to shake off a disappointing bowl loss to UCF last year and get the Tigers back to the SEC championship game.

3. Mississippi State (12% Div WP, 6% Conf WP)
Win Division (+775), Win Conference (+1550)
Joe Moorehead inherits a favorable situation at Mississippi State as there are 17 starters back on this team. Mullen built up a strong program and Moorhead will look to continue Mullen’s success. Mullen was never able to make it to an SEC championship game so don’t expect Moorhead to get their in his first season.

4. Texas A&M (8% Div WP, 4% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2150), Win Conference (+4000)
Jimbo fisher takes over at Texas A&M and inherits 16 returning starters. Fisher’s 10 year $75 million contract drew a lot of attention this off-season. While the Aggies aren’t the favorite in the SEC West, they certainly have the talent to compete in this division.

5. LSU (4% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+1150), Win Conference (+2200)
LSU is a top 25 team according to our power numbers but our model has them picked 5th in the SEC West. With only 10 starers back and a new offensive coordinator, it will be a challenging year for the Tigers. They’re a long shot to win their first conference title since 2011.

6. Ole Miss (NA% Div WP, NA% Conf WP)
Win Division (NA), Win Conference (NA)
The Rebels are not eligible for the conference championship game this season and also cannot go to a bowl due to violations. Matt Luke is in his second year here for a program that has had trouble staying out of trouble. We have the Rebels picked 6th in the SEC West.

7. Arkansas (1% Div WP, <1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+9500), Win Conference (+30000)
Chad Morris got SMU pointed in the right direction and is tasked with the same objective here at Arkansas. While this Arkansas team only won four games last season they do return 17 starters. With Alabama and Auburn in their division it’s hard to think of a way the Razorbacks can win the West.

 






About Jordan Sundheim 154 Articles
Jordan Sundheim is a veteran of the sports analytics field with a background in both athletics and statistics. He earned his master's at Duke, coached football at Stanford, and is currently a sports analytics consultant.