ACC Betting Preview

Click on a team for their full betting preview and suggested picks

Atlantic
1. Clemson (67% Div WP, 47% Conf WP)
Win Division (-315), Win Conference (-183)
Clemson keeps getting better and they are the clear favorite in the ACC. The off-season conversation has been about stand-out freshman Trevor Lawrence and when he’ll start over Kelly Bryant. There is a lot to like about this team. The only thing to not like is the heavy juice on their futures plays.

2. Florida State (10% Div WP, 5% Conf WP)
Win Division (+700), Win Conference (+925)
Florida State was the favorite in the ACC last year according to a lot of sources and disappointed going 7-6. This year they have a new head coach in Willie Taggart and will have a young defense with only 4 starters back on that side of the ball. Expectations are set low for the Seminoles, but they do have the talent to contend with Clemson.

3. Louisville (7% Div WP, 3% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2400), Win Conference (+5000)
Lamar Jackson is gone and things will be different this year at Louisville. Brian VanGorder is the new defensive coordinator and will try to repair a defense that struggled at time last season. While the Cardinals are a long shot to take the Atlantic, at 24:1 it’s worth rolling the dice.

4. NC State (5% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2400), Win Conference (+5000)
Doeren posted his best mark in the ACC last season guiding the Wolfpack to a 6-2 conference record. With only 9 starters back this is an inexperienced squad and it will be difficult for the Wolfpack to reproduce their success from last year. It’s unlikely this team will compete for the conference title.

5. Boston College (4% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2400), Win Conference (+5000)
Boston College will have one of it’s better teams in recent history this season. Unfortunately, they play in the Atlantic division and Clemson is just that much better than everyone else. Expect a solid season from the Eagles but don’t expect them to make an ACC championship game appearance.

6. Wake Forest (6% Div WP, 3% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2600), Win Conference (+5500)
Every team in the Atlantic is worthy of going to a bowl. Clawson has found a formula for winning at Wake and should have the Demon Deacons in position for another winning season. Unfortunately, there are just too many good teams in their division and it’s difficult to think of a scenario in which Wake takes the Atlantic. But the model says there is a way for them to win it and at 26:1 you’re catching some value.

7. Syracuse (1% Div WP, 1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+4500), Win Conference (+10000)
The smart bet on Syracuse this year is to pick them to finish last in the Atlantic, not first. The Orange did have an impressive win over Clemson last year, but that was the lone bright spot in year two for Dino Babers. Dungey does return at QB and should be improved, but you can’t take Syracuse seriously in this conference.

Coastal
1. Miami (41% Div WP, 17% Conf WP)
Win Division (+115), Win Conference (+650)
The Hurricanes had an amazing 10-0 start last year but reality set in as they dropped their final three games. Richt has a talented team and they are the clear favorite in the Coastal. With 14 starters back a return to the ACC title game is likely, but is not guaranteed.

2. Virginia Tech (25% Div WP, 10% Conf WP)
Win Division (+275), Win Conference (+1500)
While some think this will be a down year for the Hokies, they are still the second most talented team in the Coastal. The Hokies could very easily take the Coastal and anything can happen in a conference championship game. At 15:1 to win the conference Virginia Tech looks attractive.

3. Duke (7% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+1050), Win Conference (+6600)
Cutcliffe has done an excellent job with a program that has historically struggled and is rated a top 25 coach in the SSA coach ratings. But Cutcliffe has only posted two winning records in conference play in 10 seasons here and his loan title game appearance came back in 2013. Duke will upset someone for sure, but they won’t get enough upsets to make an ACC title game appearance.

4. Georgia Tech (8% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+825), Win Conference (+5000)
Paul Johnson’s triple option attack has won Georgia Tech a lot of games over his 10 seasons here. But the Yellow Jackets have struggled as of late posting two losing records over the previous three seasons. With 8 starters back on offense, this team will be in some games, but won’t win enough of them to make it to the ACC title game.

5. Pittsburgh (9% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+1250), Win Conference (+8000)
Pat Narduzzi enters his fourth season as head coach and if it doesn’t go well it might be his last. The Panthers did upset Miami in their final game last year and hope to bring that momentum into this season. This roster has middle of the road talent and will feature an inexperienced offense. They are not a contender in the Coastal.

6. North Carolina (8% Div WP, 2% Conf WP)
Win Division (+2250), Win Conference (+15000)
The Tar Heels won the Coastal in 2015 and things have been downhill ever since. Last year was a rough one as Fedora posted his worst record at UNC going 3-9. But this year will be different as UNC has some athletes and should avoid a second straight losing season. Outside of Miami, there is no team that sticks out in the Coastal so at 22.5:1 North Carolina is an attractive pick to win the division.

7. Virginia (2% Div WP, <1% Conf WP)
Win Division (+3000), Win Conference (+22500)
With all the success Bronco Mendenhall had at BYU, you’d expect Virginia to be in a better position going into Mendenhall’s third season. However, this team has struggled and while the defense should be improved, this offense will once again have trouble finding the end zone. The Cavaliers are picked last in the Coastal.






About Jordan Sundheim 154 Articles
Jordan Sundheim is a veteran of the sports analytics field with a background in both athletics and statistics. He earned his master's at Duke, coached football at Stanford, and is currently a sports analytics consultant.