Big 12 Preview and Futures

Click on a team for their full betting preview and suggested picks

1. Oklahoma (34% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+135)
The Sooners have won the conference the past three seasons. While they are the clear favorite to win it again this year things have changed in Norman. Riley had his first full off-season as head coach and Oklahoma will be starting a new quarterback in Kyler Murray. While Oklahoma isn’t as good as they were last year, neither is the rest of the Big 12.

2. Texas (21% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+375)
The season got off to a rough start last year for the Longhorns as they were 1-2 in non-conference play. But they rebounded and went 5-4 in the Big 12. With Herman at the helm this team should compete to make a Big 12 title game appearance.

3. TCU (14% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+825)
Someone has to win the Big 12 this year and at +825 it might as well be TCU. The Horned Frogs are coming off of a Big 12 title game appearance and bowl victory over Stanford, but this roster lacks experience. While we have them picked third in the conference, Patterson could surprise some people this year.

4. Oklahoma State (9% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+825)
The Cowboys have been good the last three seasons but good gets you finishing behind Oklahoma. Gundy has a 6-16 mark against top 10 teams and unless they pull off a top 10 upset this season they won’t be winning the Big 12.

5. West Virginia (10% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+700)
Transfers often don’t make a big impact, but that means sometimes they do. Will Grier is an elite quarterback and the Florida transfer should once again carry this West Virginia team on his back. Grier missed the final three games of last season and not surprisingly West Virginia lost all three of those games. If this team want to compete for the Big 12 title the defense will need to improve.

6. Iowa State (4% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+3250)
The Cyclones surprised people last year when they knocked off both Oklahoma and TCU. While those were big wins they posted a 5-4 record in the conference. It’s unlikely that Iowa State will beat Oklahoma and TCU again this year and it’s also unlikely that they’ll win the conference.

7. Kansas State (4% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+3750)
Bill Snyder has sustained success here at Kansas State. While they aren’t an elite team in the conference, staying out of the cellar when you’re in Manhattan Kansas is an accomplishment. The Wildcats shared the conference title back in 2012, but it’s unlikely they’ll be on top of the conference at the end of this season.

8. Texas Tech (5% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+5250)
Kliff Kingsbury has never had a winning record in conference play in 5 seasons as Texas Tech head coach. This team was vastly improved on defense last year and does bring back 10 starters on that side of the ball, so things could be different. It’s unlikely that the Red Raiders will find themselves in the conference championship game, but stranger things have happened. At 52:1 to win the conference you might as well sprinkle a little change on Tech and see where things go.

9. Baylor (1% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+6000)
Expectations weren’t high for Rhule in year one, but no one anticipated Baylor going 1-11 last season. This team was incredibly young last year and brings back 17 starters. They will be more competitive this season but will not compete for the Big 12 title.

10. Kansas (<1% Conf WP)
Win Conference (+100,000)
When you can’t win it doesn’t matter what the odds are. In 50,000 simulations the Jayhawks won the conference zero times. It’s a miracle Beaty still has a job and after this season he might not.

About Jordan Sundheim 165 Articles
Jordan Sundheim is a veteran of the sports analytics field with a background in both athletics and statistics. He earned his master's at Duke, coached football at Stanford, and is currently a sports analytics consultant.